The U.S. hosts the 2026 World Cup, but data shows mega-events seldom lift GDP. Markets see a one-in-three recession risk.

A sizable minority at the Fed think the central bank should keep its focus on inflation. They note that weekly claims for state unemployment insurance, a sign of layoffs in the economy, have stayed ...

Protect your finances from a recession with this 5-step plan to budget smarter, build savings, diversify investments, grow ...

Ambition is slowing ahead of 2026. Employees are selective about stretch and growth feels uneven. Leaders must define ...

The headline numbers say the United States is still growing, yet daily life feels like a grind of higher prices, fragile jobs ...

As Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman prepares to present the Union Budget for FY26, the concept of a "growth recession" is gaining prominence. This economic phase, characterised by sluggish GDP ...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US is not at risk of a recession in 2026 – adding that he’s “very, very optimistic” about the impact from President Trump’s tariffs and trade deals. When ...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said some sectors were in a recession as he argued for more interest rate cuts. By Alan Rappeport and Colby Smith Alan Rappeport covers the U.S. Treasury Department.

After pausing for nine months, the U.S. Federal Reserve resumed cutting interest rates on 17 September 2025. The recession forecasting method we've used to monitor the odds of a recession starting in ...

The economies of more than 20 states are either in a recession or are on the brink of slipping into one, according to an analysis by Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi. Zandi's analysis ...

Listen to more stories on the Noa app. Last week, the federal government shut down, with both Republican and Democratic plans to finance ongoing appropriations failing to garner enough votes to pass ...

When we think of recession signals, we usually think of unemployment rates, consumer spending, or GDP drops. But lately, economists and analysts have been pointing to much more unconventional clues.